Macro Leadership Through Technical Signals

May 28 - May 28

Applying relative strength and intermarket signals across fixed income, currencies, and commodities

Markets are sending important signals, but not always in the places investors first expect. As leadership shifts across rates, currencies, commodities, and commodity-linked equities, understanding how to read those moves has become increasingly important for portfolio positioning and risk management.

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S&P Quarterly Rebalancing
Published on 03/19/2025
Source: Market Mosaic Daily, by CMT Association
March 19, 2025
    LEARNING OBJECTIVES
  • After this Friday’s close the S&P will be making quarterly market cap rebalancing changes to their major indices, including the S&P500, Midcap 400, and SmallCap600
  • This means that any tracking ETFs (such as $SPY, or $MDY) must buy or sell shares to align with the updated index composition
  • There are four changes being made to […]

After this Friday’s close the S&P will be making quarterly market cap rebalancing changes to their major indices, including the S&P500, Midcap 400, and SmallCap600. This means that any tracking ETFs (such as $SPY, or $MDY) must buy or sell shares to align with the updated index composition. There are four changes being made to the S&P500 that come into effect on Monday 24th:

Courtesy of Optuma

Following the changes, Consumer Discretionary will add a net market cap of $92 billion, whilst Materials – already the smallest sector in the index representing only 2% – will lose over $11 billion. Here’s the current market cap sector breakdown, with Technology (($14.6 Trillion, 30%) accounting for twice as much as the next sector (Financials, 14%):

Courtesy of Optuma

Following the changes, Consumer Discretionary will add a net market cap of $92 billion, whilst Materials – already the smallest sector in the index representing only 2% – will lose over $11 billion. Here’s the current market cap sector breakdown, with Technology (($14.6 Trillion, 30%) accounting for twice as much as the next sector (Financials, 14%):

Courtesy of Optuma


Shared content and posted charts are intended to be used for informational and educational purposes only. CMT Association does not offer, and this information shall not be understood or construed as, financial advice or investment recommendations. The information provided is not a substitute for advice from an investment professional. CMT Association does not accept liability for any financial loss or damage our audience may incur.


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